Stop Thinking In Blinkers
The Muslim population in India has been growing in geometrical progression vis-à-vis Hindus who have been growing in arithmetical progression. And with the improvement of educational and economic level of the Hindus, the disparity has become even more pronounced. To put it in broader perspective, Muslim population has steadily grown from 13 per cent in 1800 to 16 per cent in 1850 to 20 per cent in 1900 to 25 per cent in 1947 and anywhere between 25 and 30 per cent today taking into account the geographical area of pre-partitioned India
Hindu Population in India falls first time since Independence below 80 per cent while Muslim population in India is increasing with pace. The Muslim community has registered a moderate 0.8 per cent growth to touch 17.22 crore in the 10-year period between 2001 and 2011, up from 13.8 crore, while Hindu population showed a decline by 0.7 per cent at 96.63 crore during the period, according to the latest census data on religion. People of the country were not at all surprised; alarmed, yes—but surprised—no, by the “revelations” of the Census 2011. The Muslim population growth in India at one and half times the rate of Hindu population growth rate is no “revelation” and given the Hindu mindset and priorities neither is the decline in the rate of growth of Hindu population.. The broad outlines have been there for centuries for anyone to see, if only one was willing to face the reality.
In broad terms, the Muslim population in India has been growing in geometrical progression vis-à-vis Hindus who have been growing in arithmetical progression. And with the improvement of educational and economic level of the Hindus, the disparity has become even more pronounced. To put it in broader perspective, Muslim population has steadily grown from 13 per cent in 1800 to 16 per cent in 1850 to 20 per cent in 1900 to 25 per cent in 1947 and anywhere between 25 and 30 per cent today taking into account the geographical area of pre-partitioned India. These statistics are available from various sources.
The high rate of Muslim population is not unique to India alone. Barring the isolated case of Indonesia, Muslim population growth outpaces almost every other group in just about any country in the world.
If one would analyze the data between the 1961 and 1991 census it becomes almost clear that the growth disparity even in the two were almost identical to one between the 1991 and 2001. Between 1961 and 1991 Muslim population had grown by 133.66 per cent as compared to Hindu growth of 89.24 per cent—the Muslim population growth being 150 per cent of the Hindu population growth. To bring it up to date—Between 1961 and 2001, in absolute numbers, the Hindu population has grown from 366 million to 827 million – a growth of 126 per cent while the Muslim population in the same period grew from 47 million to 138 million—a growth of 193 per cent. The Muslim population growth was consistent at about 50 per cent higher than the Hindu population. What is more alarming is that Hindu population growth rate has dangerously declined in the decade preceding the Census while the Muslim population growth, if not increased, as the initial data had indicated, it has almost remained constant, and if declined, only marginally so. It is still a high of around 30 per cent. The hoopla caused by census 2011 release just goes to show the hypocrisy of politicians of all hues. The controversy regarding the lack of census in J&K and Assam in 1991 and 1981 respectively, while it may satisfy the appetite of the secularists, is insignificant in broader terms.
As per the religious census data of 2011, released officially by the Registrar General and Census Commissioner recently, the total population in the country in 2011 was 121.09 crore.
Hindu population is 96.63 crore (79.8 per cent); Muslim 17.22 crore (14.2 per cent); Christian 2.78 crore (2.3 per cent); Sikh 2.08 crore (1.7 per cent); Buddhist 0.84 crore (0.7 per cent); Jain 0.45 crore (0.4 per cent), other religions and persuasions (ORP) 0.79 crore (0.7 per cent) and religion not stated 0.29 crore (0.2 per cent).
The proportion of Muslim population to total population has increased by 0.8 percentage point (PP) in 2011, the census data said. The proportion of Hindu population to total population in 2011 has declined by 0.7 PP; the proportion of Sikh population has declined by 0.2 PP and the Buddhist population has declined by 0.1 PP during the decade 2001-2011.
As per 2001 census, India’s total population was 102 crores of which Hindu population comprised 82.75 crore (80.45 per cent) and Muslims were 13.8 crore (13.4 per cent). The growth rate of population in the decade 2001-2011 was 17.7 per cent. The growth rate of population of the different religious communities in the same period was: Hindus: 16.8 per cent; Muslim: 24.6 per cent; Christian: 15.5 per cent; Sikh: 8.4 per cent; Buddhist: 6.1 per cent and Jain: 5.4 per cent.
The census report published recently shows an alarming 8 per cent increase over Hindus in Muslim’s decadal growth. In Assam the Muslim growth touched a highest at 3.3 pc out of total state population including a remarkable growth in Uttaranchal (2.0 pc), Kerala (1.9 pc), West Bengal (1.8 pc), Goa (1.5 pc) and J&K (1.3 pc); whereas Manipur shows a minus of 0.4 pc.
This area-wise growth of Muslim population resulted 53 highly Muslim populated districts, 15 Muslim majority parliamentary constituency and there are 350 development blocks in India where Muslims are in majority and over 150,000 rural and 10,000 urban and metro habitations are in India to establish a Muslim might to explore the pan-Islamic strength in India. A silent population Jihad in India is invading though the secular morons deny.
Some have put forward the argument that the Muslims being in minority feel threatened and hence they need to increase in numbers, holds no water. Muslim population growth in India has been actually slightly less than that in Pakistan where no threat to Muslims exists. Between 1961 and 1998, its population (96.28 per cent Muslim) grew from 43 million to 132 million – a growth of 207 per cent—at the annual growth rate of 3.092 per cent. The annual growth of Muslim population in India between 1961 and 2001 has been 2.7367 per cent.
High Muslim population growth is in fact a part of a greater global plan to make Islam the dominant religion in the world by sheer demographics. In all fairness to Muslims, their religious leaders and most rank and file are quite open about why the Muslims want to increase their population at a faster rate. As many Muslim leaders have pointed out they are not interested in “quality of life”—they are interested in “the quantity of the Muslim population”. This strategy has paid off. Muslim population growth, especially in North Africa, has filled the vacuum of declining birth rates in Europe. Demographers for several years now have been predicting that at the latest by the end of this century, Muslims will outnumber non-Muslims in Europe and it will become an extension of Arabia. Some have even called it Eurabia. Their strategy is simple—take over the world by demographics.
Political pundits of “secular hue” in India lost no time in linking the high rate of Muslim population growth to Muslim backwardness—both economic and educational; and if not directly so, at least by implication that it is the fault of India—read Hindu—government that the Muslims of India are backward. Muslim backwardness is not unique to India. Muslim backwardness, both economic and educational, as studies have shown is prevalent in the UK and Europe also.
The myth of linking high population growth with lack of education has been amply demolished by the census itself. Muslim literacy of 59.1 per cent in India is really not that much lower than those of the Hindus at 65.1 per cent and in some states, it is even higher than those of Hindus. Even in those states, the Muslim population growth is still higher than those of the Hindus.
An impression is created in the media that the Muslims in India are victims of discrimination by the Hindus. No political commentator has bothered to inform the people that literacy rate of Muslims (59.1 per cent) in India is considerably higher than those of Muslims in Pakistan at 43.92 per cent (1998 Census).
Now the question arises what are long-term implications of growing percentage of Muslim population for the Hindus? Many secularists like to downplay what it means in the future specially since the highest population growth rates have come from the border states.
The growth of Muslim population cannot be seen in isolation. It has to be looked upon in conjunction with exploding Muslim population in Pakistan and Bangladesh. Mass migration of Muslim population to India from Pakistan and Bangladesh in the future cannot be ruled out. Already 10 – 30 million—accurate figures are hard to come by—Muslims from Bangladesh over the decades have settled in various parts of India. This will only worsen the situation in border states which already have a higher percentage and growth rate of Muslim population.
By Nilabh Krishna