Friday, 17 January 2020

Why & How BJP Will Win 150 Seats in Gujarat Elections

Updated: November 16, 2017 4:18 pm

The Gujarat elections are not about Gujarat alone, they are about the 2019 general elections. A thumping victory in the Gujarat elections will pave the way for the Bharatiya Janata Party’s victory in 2019 Lok Sabha election.

One of the many report on Gujarat elections reported the following:

“Two opinion polls has given the BJP a big edge over all its rivals in the Gujarat assembly elections 2017. The India-Today Axis My India opinion poll said that the BJP would win anything between 115-125 seats.

Times Now-VMR poll said that the BJP is likely to bag 118-134 seats. The Congress on the other hand would bag 49-61 seats, the poll also said. Ahead of elections, the Intelligence agencies too carry out a poll. A report by the IB gives BJP the clear edge in Gujarat. It says that the BJP would better its performance this year when compared to the 2012 elections.

The IB says that the BJP is likely to win in the range of 125 to 134 seats. The IB also says that the BJP is likely to poll between 52 to 53 per cent of the votes this year. During the last elections, the BJP had polled 48 per cent of the votes.”

(https://www.oneindia.com/india/how-many-seats-will-bjp-win-in-gujarat-check-ib-report-2569744.html)

Another report says “A survey conducted by the CSDS Lokniti showed that unlike BJP’s Vijay Rupani, the Congress Party does not have a popular face in Gujarat and may well be critically affected as far as its chances are concerned. This will give the Bharatiya Janata Party an upper hand. As reported by Live Mint, the finding of the Lokniti-Centre survey for the Studies of Developing Societies (CSDS) state the 2017 assembly elections might turn out to be BJP’s biggest ever victory in the state. The survey was conducted in mid-August among more than 4,000 randomly selected voters and it showed that BJP had a 30% point lead over Congress. Out of 10 respondants, close to six (59%) said that they would vote for BJP.”

(https://www.google.co.in/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=10&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjNmP7ZoJrXAhWIQ48KHQ_HDWEQFghNMAk&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.financialexpress.com%2Findia-news%2Fgujarat-elections-2017-bjp-set-to-win-by-the-biggest-margin-ever-survey-shows%2F883775%2F&usg=AOvVaw1vkyDNm8q_5CKFtxU12_p3)

While a report titled, “Congress has a shot at winning Gujarat Assembly Elections”, says that the recent local body elections clearly give the edge to the BJP. The Congress managed to win 23 of 31 district panchayats and 113 of 193 panchayats, but it is the BJP which is ruling the urban voters without any formidable challenge.

With victory in Ahmedabad, Surat, Rajkot, Vadodara, Bhavnagar and Jamnagar, the BJP not only won all big municipal corporations but also captured 40 of 56 municipal corporations in small towns. With 67 urban and 20 semi-urban Assembly seats in an Assembly of 182, victory in the state still looks far away for the Congress.

The article concludes with the following paragraph:

“On the other hand, the Congress is still searching for a concrete strategy to defeat the BJP. It is trying hard to solidify its rural base but is yet to hatch a plan to attract the urban voters who are going to be key in the Assembly elections.”

Hindustan Times in its report “Why BJP thinks it can win Gujarat elections 2017” says, “When Prime Minister Narendra Modi spent three days in Varanasi before the final phase of the Uttar Pradesh election earlier this year, many saw it as a sign of desperation. He, however, told a party leader, “Chunav jang hai, aur main senapati hoon (Election is a battle, and I am the commander).”

The results showed it was not anxiety but the willingness to give it all and leave nothing to chance that drove Modi to campaign with vigour.

His frequent travels to Gujarat in the run-up to the assembly election, which will be held on December 9 and 14, have spun a similar narrative — of BJP’s nervousness.”

Surveys after surveys, reports after reports have said that BJP will win Gujarat elections. As reader would have noticed that, even the articles who want to write that Congress will win the elections end up writing BJP will win the elections.

The reason why BJP will win is because; there is neither an opposition nor issues which can defeat BJP. There is nothing much to write on the state of opposition except that it is defunct. So let me focus on the issues.

The issue raised by the opposition is of Jay Shah’s business. Anybody who can read balance sheet will know that there is no scam in the Jay Shah’s business. And in Gujarat almost everyone can read balance sheet.

The other issue raised is employment. Again, in Gujarat majority don’t look for employment opportunity. Gujarati’s are not employment seeker but employment provider.

Rest of the so called (failed) youth leaders doing politics of cast in 21st century in a highly literate and economically strong society will be nothing more but a failure again.

One shouldn’t forget, Congress MLA holidaying in a resort while voters of Gujarat were suffering from floods.

Prime minister Narendra Modi has still not spoken about Congress butchering “Gau Mata in Kerala” , Rahul Gandhi partnering with Akhilesh Yadav who called “Gujarat’s as Gadha” and “Gujarati’s not being Sahid”. When these issues will be raised by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, opposition won’t know where to hide their face from voters in Gujarat.

So when BJP President Amit Shah, says BJP will get 150 seats, it has lot of merit.

By Sandeep Singh

 

 

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